A United States expert in election forensics has exposed what he describes as large-scale fraud in the Kenya’s August 8th presidential elections.
University of Michigan Political Scientist Walter Mebane says that two statistical models he used to carry out a detailed analysis of the just concluded election revealed that there was massive rigging.
The Political Scientist said that he detected that 548,352 votes were fraudulently added to the advantage President Uhuru Kenyatta.
Professor Mebane further added that there were possible indicators that electoral fraud was present at polling stations across the country.
The professor saud that his analysis only assessed electronic vote tallies and not paper ballots.
“There was no sign of manipulation in voter turnout numbers but the vote counts look anomalous on every basis we use,” the Professor stated.
He, however, exuded confidence with the ability of the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) to successfully conduct a repeat election within 60 days.
Prof Mebane developed an “election forensics toolkit” that applies diagnostic tools to voting data.
He has applied these statistical methodologies to analyse elections in a dozen countries, including the 2013 presidential contest in Kenya.
On Friday, the Kenya’s Supreme Court nullified President Kenyatta’s re-election and presidential poll in 60 days.
The court ruled that IEBC did not conduct free and fair elections but cleared President Uhuru Kenyatta of any malpractice.
For argument sake if we were…
For argument sake if we were to address the above allegation.The correct intervention would have been to order a manual recount of votes and then cast out the bad votes.nullifying the election and putting the Kenyan public thru a rerun is an act of grouse abuse of judicial power in my opinion.especially because uhuru ruto will win again.
be objective and factual…
be objective and factual even in your comments! Are you blinded not to see the facts or too deaf to hear! wacha ku kaa ngumu kama mawe regardless of the facts and don’t be too sure. Learn from US past elections, did you ever imagine Trump was going to win? So don’t be too sure. Let’s all wait and see.
@Kim:…
@Kim:
Through our new working supreme court, Kenya has a chance to rebound from many years of moral decay and decadence.
The founding father of corruption is alive and well. He handed over his corrupt legacy to Toroitich Arap Moi who then made sure his two projects uhuru and ruto continue with his corrupt legacy.
It’s time to abandon this corrupt aristocracies.
@IDAYUA. KIMinyavuri never…
@IDAYUA. KIMinyavuri never listens; and it’s because KIM is a Computer (generated) Hen.
What kind of an expert is…
What kind of an expert is Mebane? When did he build the statistical models? What type of data did he feed into the models? What quality controls did he build in the models? What are the model parameters? For models we know they function on the basis of garbage in garbage out. If your input data is biased, the results will be biased. So, Mebane needs to explain the model metrics so that intelligent Kenyans can challenge or agree with his results. Right now he is only blowing hot air.
@Sokora. Jubilee and IEBC…
@Sokora. Jubilee and IEBC blew Hot Air (garbage) in the Servers but they can’t Blow it out. The Hot Air is still Counting and Reading 54%. Amazing!!!
You can fool people most of…
You can fool people most of the time but not all the time. Your proverbial 40 thiefing days are over.
Well said @sokora. Where…
Well said @sokora. Where was this self-made election forensics…god-knows-what, during the recent USA elections which were riddled with RUSSIAN interference. Go clean the mess in your kitchen before working on our garages….oh ye righteous americans! All you know is to point fingers at African affairs while you rot from your insides. Who chose you as the judges of others? Idiots!
@JustMe. And why is the…
@JustMe. And why is the Computers at the IEBC Still Going on with Vote Tallying/Updating as we speak about 1 Month later (even in the Eyes the SCoK having NULLIFIED the Hot Air win)?
A fake United States expert…
A fake United States expert in election forensics aka Walter Mebane. Where was/is he to analyze the USA election yenye Russian hacked and danced on it. Potelea mbali
@Kenya. I don’t know Mebane…
@Kenya. I don’t know Mebane. But once Hillary CONCEDED to Trump, that was End of Story. Mebane would be wasting time if he tried delving into it.
Uongo tupu. Kenyans are…
Uongo tupu. Kenyans are very smart and will not accept his matope & crap. If he was an expert as he claims he would have analyzed usa election system that Russian hacked, jumped & danced on it. Our system in Kenya is perfect and we have 2 backup plans including mololongo. Hillary conceding defeat does not mean the system was not hacked umesikia @guest1
Mebane has left the matter…
Mebane has left the matter to the COMPETENT (not Corrupt) Congress of the US. The Kenyan “congress” is Unashamedly too Corrupt.
You are one of those brain…
You are one of those brain washed dude who think everything from Western countries is perfect. Get up from the deep sleep umelala sana sana
We have a lot of know…
We have a lot of know-nothing experts in the internet these days. Russia interfered in the US elections through one-sided negative news on Hillary, and not on the actual voting data. Kenya’s case, according to Walter Mebane, is on the voting data. You can request the analytical details from Mebane and stop being trolls or tribal fanatics.
He should be busy fixing the…
He should be busy fixing the ridiculous US electoral system and telling us how Russia penetrated US electoral system and where he was as an illiterate fake stinking expert!!!!!!!
Prof. how come your models…
Prof. how come your models could not be used in the USA elections but they fit perfectly well for Kenya? What are the assumptions and limitations of your models? This kind of analysis sells like hot cakes in places where experts are gods of knowledge. As in Benjamin Disraeli’s “lies, damned lies, and statistics” and O’Neil’s “Weapon’s of math Destruction”-Bad statistics lead to misinformation.
Negro please..you might…
Negro please..you might actually think you’re analyzing Kenyan politics to another kondoo like you..smh
Boss Raila is the SAY of…
Boss Raila is the SAY of East Africa forget Kenya. For his lovers, his name is such a sweet song of assurance to everything good and he has delivered without being on the seat. Ma haters nao name ikiemerge their stomach rumble like a brand new stomach bug that can’t kill you but toment their anus. That’s why Anus scrachsyndrome is now in full effect prescribed dosage 60 days
Like they say hind site is…
Like they say hind site is always 20/20.These experts are now acting like they predicted” the out “come.Very few so called experts confidently predicted that supreme court would nullify the results.
Before this Mebane tackles…
Before this Mebane tackles forensic data about Kenya, he should start with his own country. He should focus on Trump presidency and leave the Kenya elections alone. Here is the thing, why didn’t he bring this data before Supreme Court decision? Why now. I am tired to see people like Mebane embracing negativity rather than moving forward with a positive outcome.
Some people want to show the world how bad things are in Kenya, yet their own countries is a mess.
Ati electoral expert!…
Ati electoral expert! Predicting after the fact & does not even produce the so called fraudulent evidence. Ni kuzusha tu kujustify cheo uko Michigan. Ndaganya wengine sio wakenya.